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内容简介:
Winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics 但凡思考过20世纪30年代“大萧条”问题的经济学家,大都认为那是一场无妄之灾,而不是无法避免的悲剧。他们认为,假如当年赫伯特•胡佛没有在经济萧条迫在眉睫时还试图保持预算平衡,假如当年美联储没有以牺牲国内经济为代价来维护金本位,假如当年政府官员迅速向境况不妙的银行注资,以平复 1930~1931年间蔓延开来的银行恐慌,那么1929年的股市崩溃将只会引发一场普普通通的、很快被人遗忘的经济衰退。他们还认为,经济学家和决策者已经汲取了教训。真的是这样吗?
1929年股市大崩盘,拉开20世纪大萧条序幕;1982年债务危机,第三世界国家遭遇危机后的萧条;1991年日本经济泡沫破裂,至今仍在萧条中徘徊;1997年亚洲金融危机爆发,诸多经济体深陷衰退;2007年美国次贷风波愈演愈烈,经济萧条再度袭来;在诺贝尔经济学奖颁奖前夕,克鲁格曼再次预言,21世纪严重经济衰退无法避免,世界或将遭遇“失去的十年”。经济萧条从未远离我们,萧条经济学重返历史舞台。
《萧条经济学的回归和2008年经济危机》一书没有方程式,没有令人费解的图表,没有拒人于千里之外的经济学行话,这是一本所有关心世界经济走向的人都能读懂的书!旧作新颜,恰逢21世纪首场金融危机席卷全球,萧条经济学卷土重来。灾难深重的金融危机,挥之不去的萧条阴影,束手无策的政府,茫然失措的大众,美国怎么了,世界怎么了?
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Paul Krugman is the recipient of the 2008 Nobel Prize in Economics. He writes a twice-weekly op-ed column for the New York Times and a blog named for his 2007 book, The Conscience of Liberal. He teaches economics at Princeton University.
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原文赏析:
Anyway, the equations and diagrams of formal economics are, more often than not, no more than a scaffolding used to help construct an intellectual edifice. Once that edifice has been built to a certain point, the scaffolding can be stripped away, leaving only plain English behind.
For the first time since 1917, then, we live in a world in which property rights and free markets are viewed as fundamental principles, not grudging expedients; where the unpleasant aspects of market system -- inequality, unemployment, injustice -- are accepted as facts of life. As in the Victorian era, capitalism is secure not only because of its successes ...... but because nobody has a plausible alternative.
"With the rise of the modern corporation, the emergence of the organization required by modern technology and planning and divorce of the owner of capital from control of the enterprise, the entrepreneur no longer exists as an individual person in the mature industrial enterprise." ...... The information industries, however, shook up the industrial order. As in the nineteenth century, the econmic story became one of remarkable individuals: of men who had a better idea, developed it in their garage or on their kitchen table, and struck it rich. Business magazines actually become interesting to read; and business success came to seem admirable, in a way that it hadn't for more than a century.
The benefits of export-led economic growth to the mass of people in the newly industrializing economies were not a matter of conjecture......These improvements did not take place because well-meaning people in the West did anything to help -- foreign aid, never large, shrank in the 1990s to virtually nothing. Now was it the result of the benign policies of national governments, which, ...... were as callous and corrupt as ever. It was he indirect and unintended result of the actions of soulless multinational corporations and rapacious local entrepreneurs, whose only concern was to take advantage of the profit opportunities offered by cheap labor. It was not an edifying spactacle; but no matter how base the motives of those involved, the result was to move hundreds of millions of people fro...
Over the course of the 1970s a "new class" had become increasingly influential within Mexico's ruling party and government. Well educated, often with graduate degrees from Harvard or MIT, fluent in English and internationalist in outlook, they were Mexican enough to navigate the PRI's boss-and-patronage political waters, but Americanized enough to believe that things should be different......the "technopols," who could explain how free-market reforms had worked in Chile, how export-oriented growth had worked in Korea, how inflation stabilization had been achieved in Israel, found themselves the men of the hour. They were not alone: by the mid-1980s many Latin American economists had abandoned the statist views of the fifties and sixties in favor of what came to be the Washington Consensus:...
Dornbusch and others argued that the problem lay in the value of the peso: an excessively strong currency was pricing Mexican goods out of world markets, preventing economy from taking advantage of its growing capacity What Mexico needed, then, was a devaluation -- a onetime reduction in the dollar value of the peso, which would get its economy moving again. After all, in 1992 Britain aid had been forced by financial markets to the let value of the pound decline, and the result of was to turn a recession into a boom. Mexico, said some, needed a dose of the same medicine.
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Winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics 但凡思考过20世纪30年代“大萧条”问题的经济学家,大都认为那是一场无妄之灾,而不是无法避免的悲剧。他们认为,假如当年赫伯特•胡佛没有在经济萧条迫在眉睫时还试图保持预算平衡,假如当年美联储没有以牺牲国内经济为代价来维护金本位,假如当年政府官员迅速向境况不妙的银行注资,以平复 1930~1931年间蔓延开来的银行恐慌,那么1929年的股市崩溃将只会引发一场普普通通的、很快被人遗忘的经济衰退。他们还认为,经济学家和决策者已经汲取了教训。真的是这样吗?
1929年股市大崩盘,拉开20世纪大萧条序幕;1982年债务危机,第三世界国家遭遇危机后的萧条;1991年日本经济泡沫破裂,至今仍在萧条中徘徊;1997年亚洲金融危机爆发,诸多经济体深陷衰退;2007年美国次贷风波愈演愈烈,经济萧条再度袭来;在诺贝尔经济学奖颁奖前夕,克鲁格曼再次预言,21世纪严重经济衰退无法避免,世界或将遭遇“失去的十年”。经济萧条从未远离我们,萧条经济学重返历史舞台。
《萧条经济学的回归和2008年经济危机》一书没有方程式,没有令人费解的图表,没有拒人于千里之外的经济学行话,这是一本所有关心世界经济走向的人都能读懂的书!旧作新颜,恰逢21世纪首场金融危机席卷全球,萧条经济学卷土重来。灾难深重的金融危机,挥之不去的萧条阴影,束手无策的政府,茫然失措的大众,美国怎么了,世界怎么了?
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